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Content Prototypes

  1. Bayes with Beans

    In this video, Professor Myriam Hunink introduces the concept of “diagnostic Bayesian thinking” through a simple example and a visual representation using beans! Students consider how an initial probability or belief is influenced by new diagnostic information through the use of Bayes' theorem.

  2. High and Low Value Care - Barriers: Innovation and Economic Incentive

    Dr. Ankur Pandya discusses some of the possible economic barriers to a greater push towards value centered care.

  3. 1.1 Structuring a father's decision

    This video with Dr. Sue Goldie is the first of two videos in a multimedia segment, Part 1. A Father’s Decision. In this video students identify the elements of the decision problem (e.g., objectives, alternatives, probabilities, and outcomes) and build a decision tree to represent the events in the sequence in which they occur, differentiating decision nodes, chance nodes and terminal nodes.

    Part 1. A Father’s Decision
    In these videos students look back at a decision that Benjamin Franklin had to make in 1736, in the context of smallpox epidemics coming every couple of years to Boston or Philadelphia -- whether he should inoculate his child.
    • Video 1.1 Structuring a Father’s Decision (Current Video)
    • Video 1.2 Analyzing a Father’s Decision

    This multimedia segment, Part 1. A Father’s Decision, is part of the teaching pack on Building Decision Trees. In this teaching pack students learn how to structure the elements (e.g., objectives, alternatives, probabilities, and outcomes) of a problem into a decision tree model, conduct a baseline analysis of the expected value of different alternatives, assess the value of perfect information, and perform sensitivity analyses.

    Videos are part of the teaching pack on Building Decision Trees, developed by Sue J. Goldie at the Center for Health Decision Science at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health as part of a series of pilots while constructing an online course for graduate students in public health.

    Videos. Part 1. A Father's Decision (Videos 1.1, 1.2) from the Teaching Pack: Building Decision Trees. Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health 2017. repository.chds.hsph.harvard.edu/repository/2503/

  4. 1.2 Analyzing a father's decision

    This video with Dr. Sue Goldie is the second of two videos in a multimedia segment, Part 1. A Father’s Decision. In this video students integrate the data provided on probabilities and outcomes and calculate the expected value of each alternative by “averaging and folding back”. They then conduct a sensitivity analysis to gain insight into how the results would change if the values assumed were higher or lower than initially believed.

    Part 1. A Father’s Decision
    In these videos students look back at a decision that Benjamin Franklin had to make in 1736, in the context of smallpox epidemics coming every couple of years to Boston or Philadelphia -- whether he should inoculate his child.
    • Video 1.1 Structuring a Father’s Decision
    • Video 1.2 Analyzing a Father’s Decision (Current Video)

    This multimedia segment, Part 1. A Father’s Decision, is part of the teaching pack on Building Decision Trees. In this teaching pack students learn how to structure the elements (e.g., objectives, alternatives, probabilities, and outcomes) of a problem into a decision tree model, conduct a baseline analysis of the expected value of different alternatives, assess the value of perfect information, and perform sensitivity analyses.

    Videos are part of the teaching pack on Building Decision Trees, developed by Sue J. Goldie at the Center for Health Decision Science at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health as part of a series of pilots while constructing an online course for graduate students in public health.

    Videos. Part 1. A Father's Decision (Videos 1.1, 1.2) from the Teaching Pack: Building Decision Trees. Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health 2017. repository.chds.hsph.harvard.edu/repository/2503/

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